Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. logo REGN - Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 34
HOLD 15
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $820.65 DETAILS
HIGH: $1,030.00
LOW: $730.00
MEDIAN: $800.00
CONSENSUS: $820.65
UPSIDE: 3.33%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 80% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 17.6% below fair value
Current Price $794.19
Bear Case $665.52 16.2% downside ($665.52 - $794.19) / $794.19 = -16.2% 8% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $963.43 21.3% upside ($963.43 - $794.19) / $794.19 = 21.3% 13% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $1,281.83 61.4% upside ($1,281.83 - $794.19) / $794.19 = 61.4% 17% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

13.3%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (13% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 42%
Implied Market Multiple 22.5x
Market is pricing in (growth) 10.6% vs our 13.3% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 13% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $963.43 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (49 analysts) $820.65
Analyst Range $730.00 – $1030.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 17%

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions