Red Violet, Inc. logo RDVT - Red Violet, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 1
HOLD 0
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $62.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $62.00
LOW: $62.00
MEDIAN: $62.00
CONSENSUS: $62.00
UPSIDE: 22.43%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 32.6% below fair value
Current Price $50.64
Bear Case $41.72 17.6% downside ($41.72 - $50.64) / $50.64 = -17.6% 13% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $75.18 48.5% upside ($75.18 - $50.64) / $50.64 = 48.5% 21% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $118.05 133.1% upside ($118.05 - $50.64) / $50.64 = 133.1% 27% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

21.1%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (21% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 43%
Implied Market Multiple 28.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 21% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case intrinsic value is $75.18 per share.

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 49% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions