Red Violet, Inc. logo RDVT - Red Violet, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 2
HOLD 0
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $81.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $90.00
LOW: $73.00
MEDIAN: $81.50
CONSENSUS: $81.50
UPSIDE: 8.64%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 0.2% below fair value
Current Price $75.02
Bear Case $41.72 44.4% downside ($41.72 - $75.02) / $75.02 = -44.4% 13% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $75.18 0.2% upside ($75.18 - $75.02) / $75.02 = 0.2% 21% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $118.05 57.4% upside ($118.05 - $75.02) / $75.02 = 57.4% 27% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

21.1%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (21% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 43%
Implied Market Multiple 42.6x
Market is pricing in (growth) 21.1% vs our 21.1% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 21% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case intrinsic value is $75.18 per share.

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 49% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions