Republic Bancorp, Inc. logo RBCAA - Republic Bancorp, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 2
HOLD 0
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $51.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $51.00
LOW: $51.00
MEDIAN: $51.00
CONSENSUS: $51.00
DOWNSIDE: 46.26%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 36.5% below fair value
Current Price $94.90
Bear Case $94.19 0.7% downside ($94.19 - $94.90) / $94.90 = -0.7% ROTCE 9.3% → 1.55x TBV
Fair Value $149.40 57.4% upside ($149.40 - $94.90) / $94.90 = 57.4% ROTCE 12.4% → 2.46x TBV
Bull Case $182.52 92.3% upside ($182.52 - $94.90) / $94.90 = 92.3% ROTCE 14.2% → 3.00x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

12.4%
7.4%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (12.4%) vs. cost of equity (7.4%)

Implied Market Multiple 1.56x

Plain-Language Summary

With ROTCE of 12.4% vs. 7.4% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 2.46x on $60.74 tangible book, implying $149.40 per share.

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly