RB Global, Inc. logo RBA - RB Global, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 15
HOLD 7
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $134.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $145.00
LOW: $124.00
MEDIAN: $134.50
CONSENSUS: $134.50
UPSIDE: 56.60%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 8.3% above fair value
Current Price $85.89
Bear Case $51.58 39.9% downside ($51.58 - $85.89) / $85.89 = -39.9% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $79.30 7.7% downside ($79.30 - $85.89) / $85.89 = -7.7% 10% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $106.74 24.3% upside ($106.74 - $85.89) / $85.89 = 24.3% 13% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

10.3%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (10% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 39%
Implied Market Multiple 23.5x
Market is pricing in (growth) 11.1% vs our 10.3% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 10% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $79.30 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (25 analysts) $134.50
Analyst Range $124.00 – $145.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 41%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $134.50 (from 25 analysts). Our estimate is 41% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions