RB Global, Inc. logo RBA - RB Global, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 15
HOLD 7
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $134.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $145.00
LOW: $124.00
MEDIAN: $134.50
CONSENSUS: $134.50
UPSIDE: 56.69%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 5.4% below fair value
Current Price $85.84
Bear Case $56.44 34.2% downside ($56.44 - $85.84) / $85.84 = -34.2% 7% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $90.71 5.7% upside ($90.71 - $85.84) / $85.84 = 5.7% 12% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $125.83 46.6% upside ($125.83 - $85.84) / $85.84 = 46.6% 15% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

11.7%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (12% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 40%
Implied Market Multiple 23.4x
Market is pricing in (growth) 11.1% vs our 11.7% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 12% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $90.71 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (25 analysts) $134.50
Analyst Range $124.00 – $145.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 33%

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $134.50 (from 25 analysts). Our estimate is 33% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions