RB Global, Inc. logo RBA - RB Global, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 14
HOLD 7
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $134.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $145.00
LOW: $124.00
MEDIAN: $134.50
CONSENSUS: $134.50
UPSIDE: 24.03%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 51.1% above fair value
Current Price $108.44
Bear Case $47.33 56.3% downside ($47.33 - $108.44) / $108.44 = -56.3% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $71.78 33.8% downside ($71.78 - $108.44) / $108.44 = -33.8% 9% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $94.97 12.4% downside ($94.97 - $108.44) / $108.44 = -12.4% 11% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

8.7%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (9% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 38%
Implied Market Multiple 34.2x
Market is pricing in (growth) 16.1% vs our 8.7% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $134.50 from 24 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $71.78 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $134.50 (from 24 analysts). Our estimate is 62% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions