Ralliant Corp. logo RAL - Ralliant Corp.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 6
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $55.83 DETAILS
HIGH: $67.00
LOW: $45.00
MEDIAN: $56.50
CONSENSUS: $55.83
DOWNSIDE: 9.29%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Cyclical & Capital-Intensive 70% confidence

Primary model: Normalized Earnings × Cycle Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 2.5% below fair value
Current Price $61.55
Bear Case $50.34 18.2% downside ($50.34 - $61.55) / $61.55 = -18.2% $3.29 × 18x + net cash
Fair Value $63.13 2.6% upside ($63.13 - $61.55) / $61.55 = 2.6% $3.29 × 22x + net cash
Bull Case $75.92 23.3% upside ($75.92 - $61.55) / $61.55 = 23.3% $3.29 × 26x + net cash

Adjust Assumptions

22.0x
3.29$

Key Value Driver

Through-cycle normalized EPS ($3.29)

Implied Market Multiple 18.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses Normalized Earnings × Cycle Multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $55.83 from 7 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $63.13 per share.

Key Risks

  • Standard 10-year DCF produces unreliable terminal values for cyclicals
  • 'Cheap' P/E at cycle peak is the most common value trap — normalize first
  • Captive finance subsidiaries have different risk profiles from manufacturing