Ralliant Corp logo RAL - Ralliant Corp

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 6
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $59.17 DETAILS
HIGH: $67.00
LOW: $45.00
MEDIAN: $64.50
CONSENSUS: $59.17
DOWNSIDE: 14.56%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 35.0% above fair value
Current Price $69.25
Bear Case $41.04 40.7% downside ($41.04 - $69.25) / $69.25 = -40.7% $3.29 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $51.31 25.9% downside ($51.31 - $69.25) / $69.25 = -25.9% $3.29 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $61.57 11.1% downside ($61.57 - $69.25) / $69.25 = -11.1% $3.29 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
3.29$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 21.1x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $59.17 from 7 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $51.31 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples