Ralliant Corp logo RAL - Ralliant Corp

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 8
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $74.83 DETAILS
HIGH: $88.00
LOW: $65.00
MEDIAN: $74.50
CONSENSUS: $74.83
UPSIDE: 8.88%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 53.5% above fair value
Current Price $68.73
Bear Case $35.82 47.9% downside ($35.82 - $68.73) / $68.73 = -47.9% $2.98 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $44.77 34.9% downside ($44.77 - $68.73) / $68.73 = -34.9% $2.98 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $53.72 21.8% downside ($53.72 - $68.73) / $68.73 = -21.8% $2.98 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
2.98$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 23.0x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $2.98, the base-case value is $44.77 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (9 analysts) $74.83
Analyst Range $65.00 – $88.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 40%

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $74.83 (from 9 analysts). Our estimate is 40% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples