AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page computes Ryder System, Inc.'s fair value using a multi-method blend (DCF, comparable-multiples, and Graham-style intrinsic value), then compares it to the current market price to flag R as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is Ryder System, Inc.'s fair value?

Fair value for R is a model output combining discounted cash flow projections, peer-group multiples, and a Graham number floor. The live AlphaVal page shows the blended fair value alongside each method's individual estimate.

How does AlphaMadera value R?

AlphaVal uses three primary techniques: a five-year discounted-cash-flow projection with terminal multiple, peer-group multiple analysis (P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S), and Graham's defensive-investor intrinsic-value formula. Inputs come from R's most recent reported fundamentals.

R - Ryder System, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $292.50 DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong

Trading 63.7% below fair value

Current Price $267.68

Bear Case $533.46 99.3% upside ($533.46 - $267.68) / $267.68 = 99.3% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Fair Value $737.07 175.4% upside ($737.07 - $267.68) / $267.68 = 175.4% 9% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Bull Case $929.52 247.3% upside ($929.52 - $267.68) / $267.68 = 247.3% 11% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

DCF Stage 1 Growth Rate

8.5%

Discount Rate (WACC)

11.0%

Terminal Growth Rate

3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (9% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 38%

Implied Market Multiple 8.2x

Market is pricing in (growth) -3.3% vs our 8.5% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $292.50 from 35 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $737.07 per share.

Warnings

ℹ This company spends 17% of revenue on big investments like data centers and infrastructure, mostly for growth. We adjusted the cash flow figure to only subtract the upkeep costs, giving a clearer picture of true profitability.

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $292.50 (from 35 analysts). Our estimate is 217% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions