Q2 Holdings, Inc. logo QTWO - Q2 Holdings, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 24
HOLD 8
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $76.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $90.00
LOW: $63.00
MEDIAN: $75.50
CONSENSUS: $76.00
UPSIDE: 64.79%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 80% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 42.5% below fair value
Current Price $46.12
Bear Case $52.63 14.1% upside ($52.63 - $46.12) / $46.12 = 14.1% 9% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $80.26 74.0% upside ($80.26 - $46.12) / $46.12 = 74.0% 15% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $110.52 139.6% upside ($110.52 - $46.12) / $46.12 = 139.6% 19% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

14.6%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (15% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 38%
Implied Market Multiple 14.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $76.00 from 32 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $80.26 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions