QRVO - Qorvo, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$88.86
DETAILS
HIGH:
$120.00
LOW:
$66.00
MEDIAN:
$87.00
CONSENSUS:
$88.86
DOWNSIDE:
16.51%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Cyclical & Capital-Intensive
80% confidence
Primary model: Normalized Earnings × Cycle Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
16.0x
3.62$
Key Value Driver
Through-cycle normalized EPS ($3.62)
Implied Market Multiple
29.4x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses Normalized Earnings × Cycle Multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $88.86 from 42 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $64.58 per share.
Warnings
Price-to-book value of 10.8x is above the normal range for this type of business (0.7x-2.0x). The stock may already price in a strong cycle.
Wall Street's average price target is $88.86 (from 42 analysts). Our estimate is 39% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Standard 10-year DCF produces unreliable terminal values for cyclicals
- 'Cheap' P/E at cycle peak is the most common value trap — normalize first
- Captive finance subsidiaries have different risk profiles from manufacturing