QRVO - Qorvo, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$94.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$120.00
LOW:
$66.00
MEDIAN:
$96.00
CONSENSUS:
$94.00
DOWNSIDE:
2.16%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Cyclical & Capital-Intensive
80% confidence
Primary model: Normalized Earnings × Cycle Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
16.0x
2.86$
Key Value Driver
Through-cycle normalized EPS ($2.86)
Implied Market Multiple
33.5x
Plain-Language Summary
Using 7-year normalized EPS of $2.86 at a 16x cycle multiple, the base-case value is $45.82 per share. P/TBV cross-check: 9.7x.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (42 analysts)
$94.00
Analyst Range
$66.00 – $120.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
51%
Warnings
Price-to-book value of 9.7x is above the normal range for this type of business (0.7x-2.0x). The stock may already price in a strong cycle.
Wall Street's average price target is $94.00 (from 42 analysts). Our estimate is 51% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Standard 10-year DCF produces unreliable terminal values for cyclicals
- 'Cheap' P/E at cycle peak is the most common value trap — normalize first
- Captive finance subsidiaries have different risk profiles from manufacturing