QuidelOrtho Corporation logo QDEL - QuidelOrtho Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 6
HOLD 7
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $12.25 DETAILS
HIGH: $12.50
LOW: $12.00
MEDIAN: $12.25
CONSENSUS: $12.25
DOWNSIDE: 8.45%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 63.5% below fair value
Current Price $13.38
Bear Case $29.30 119.0% upside ($29.30 - $13.38) / $13.38 = 119.0% $2.18 × 13x P/E
Fair Value $36.62 173.7% upside ($36.62 - $13.38) / $13.38 = 173.7% $2.18 × 17x P/E
Bull Case $43.95 228.5% upside ($43.95 - $13.38) / $13.38 = 228.5% $2.18 × 20x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

16.8x
2.18$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 6.1x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 17x P/E to adjusted EPS of $2.18, the base-case value is $36.62 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (15 analysts) $12.25
Analyst Range $12.00 – $12.50
Divergence from AlphaVal 199%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $12.25 (from 15 analysts). Our estimate is 199% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
This stock is 62% below its 52-week high, with weak or declining earnings. That combination often signals real trouble, even though the valuation below is based on other fundamentals.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples