QDEL - QuidelOrtho Corporation
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$12.25
DETAILS
HIGH:
$12.50
LOW:
$12.00
MEDIAN:
$12.25
CONSENSUS:
$12.25
DOWNSIDE:
8.45%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
40% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
16.8x
2.18$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
6.1x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 17x P/E to adjusted EPS of $2.18, the base-case value is $36.62 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (15 analysts)
$12.25
Analyst Range
$12.00 – $12.50
Divergence from AlphaVal
199%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $12.25 (from 15 analysts). Our estimate is 199% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
This stock is 62% below its 52-week high, with weak or declining earnings. That combination often signals real trouble, even though the valuation below is based on other fundamentals.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples