Quanta Services, Inc. logo PWR - Quanta Services, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 26
HOLD 10
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $794.25 DETAILS
HIGH: $940.00
LOW: $650.00
MEDIAN: $800.00
CONSENSUS: $794.25
UPSIDE: 27.20%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 28.4% above fair value
Current Price $624.41
Bear Case $244.83 60.8% downside ($244.83 - $624.41) / $624.41 = -60.8% 12% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $486.38 22.1% downside ($486.38 - $624.41) / $624.41 = -22.1% 20% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $792.60 26.9% upside ($792.60 - $624.41) / $624.41 = 26.9% 27% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

20.4%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (20% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 47%
Implied Market Multiple 59.5x
Market is pricing in (growth) 23.5% vs our 20.4% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 20% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $486.38 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (36 analysts) $794.25
Analyst Range $650.00 – $940.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 39%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $794.25 (from 36 analysts). Our estimate is 39% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions