Quanta Services, Inc. logo PWR - Quanta Services, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 26
HOLD 9
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $665.29 DETAILS
HIGH: $900.00
LOW: $428.00
MEDIAN: $642.00
CONSENSUS: $665.29
DOWNSIDE: 8.04%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 38.4% above fair value
Current Price $723.44
Bear Case $280.11 61.3% downside ($280.11 - $723.44) / $723.44 = -61.3% 12% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $522.64 27.8% downside ($522.64 - $723.44) / $723.44 = -27.8% 20% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $830.10 14.7% upside ($830.10 - $723.44) / $723.44 = 14.7% 27% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

20.4%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (20% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 47%
Implied Market Multiple 73.6x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $665.29 from 35 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $522.64 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $665.29 (from 35 analysts). Our estimate is 31% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions