PTGX - Protagonist Therapeutics, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$123.25
DETAILS
HIGH:
$145.00
LOW:
$110.00
MEDIAN:
$119.00
CONSENSUS:
$123.25
DOWNSIDE:
6.22%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
80% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
10.9%
12.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (11% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
35%
Implied Market Multiple
365.5x
Market is pricing in (growth)
51.3%
vs our 10.9% base
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $123.25 from 26 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $42.38 per share.
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $123.25 (from 26 analysts). Our estimate is 87% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions