PTC Therapeutics, Inc. logo PTCT - PTC Therapeutics, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 17
HOLD 7
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $104.29 DETAILS
HIGH: $137.00
LOW: $75.00
MEDIAN: $104.00
CONSENSUS: $104.29
UPSIDE: 61.19%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 80% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 27.1% below fair value
Current Price $64.70
Bear Case $86.99 34.5% upside ($86.99 - $64.70) / $64.70 = 34.5% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $88.76 37.2% upside ($88.76 - $64.70) / $64.70 = 37.2% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $95.96 48.3% upside ($95.96 - $64.70) / $64.70 = 48.3% 4% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

3.3%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (3% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 33%
Implied Market Multiple 9.9x
Market is pricing in (growth) -0.7% vs our 3.2% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 3% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $88.76 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (26 analysts) $104.29
Analyst Range $75.00 – $137.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 15%

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions