PTC Therapeutics, Inc. logo PTCT - PTC Therapeutics, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 17
HOLD 7
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $106.14 DETAILS
HIGH: $130.00
LOW: $85.00
MEDIAN: $108.00
CONSENSUS: $106.14
UPSIDE: 44.47%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 80% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 23.1% below fair value
Current Price $73.47
Bear Case $86.99 18.4% upside ($86.99 - $73.47) / $73.47 = 18.4% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $95.60 30.1% upside ($95.60 - $73.47) / $73.47 = 30.1% 4% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $105.66 43.8% upside ($105.66 - $73.47) / $73.47 = 43.8% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

4.2%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (4% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 34%
Implied Market Multiple 11.1x
Market is pricing in (growth) 0.9% vs our 4.2% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 4% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $95.60 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (26 analysts) $106.14
Analyst Range $85.00 – $130.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 10%

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions