PTC Therapeutics, Inc. logo PTCT - PTC Therapeutics, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 16
HOLD 8
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $98.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $120.00
LOW: $82.00
MEDIAN: $94.00
CONSENSUS: $98.00
UPSIDE: 42.42%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 42.4% below fair value
Current Price $68.81
Bear Case $119.40 73.5% upside ($119.40 - $68.81) / $68.81 = 73.5% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $119.40 73.5% upside ($119.40 - $68.81) / $68.81 = 73.5% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $126.34 83.6% upside ($126.34 - $68.81) / $68.81 = 83.6% 4% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

3.0%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (3% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 33%
Implied Market Multiple 6.1x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $98.00 from 26 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $119.40 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $98.00 (from 26 analysts). Our estimate is 29% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions