Everpure, Inc logo PSTG - Everpure, Inc

Inactive Ticker PSTG is not actively trading. Quotes and analytics may be stale.
Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 24
HOLD 7
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $86.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $90.00
LOW: $81.00
MEDIAN: $87.00
CONSENSUS: $86.00
DOWNSIDE: 0.26%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 90.1% above fair value
Current Price $86.22
Bear Case $30.27 64.9% downside ($30.27 - $86.22) / $86.22 = -64.9% 10% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $45.34 47.4% downside ($45.34 - $86.22) / $86.22 = -47.4% 17% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $62.82 27.1% downside ($62.82 - $86.22) / $86.22 = -27.1% 22% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

16.8%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (17% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 40%
Implied Market Multiple 106.7x
Market is pricing in (growth) 33.7% vs our 16.8% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $86.00 from 32 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $45.34 per share.

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 256% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Wall Street's average price target is $86.00 (from 32 analysts). Our estimate is 68% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions