PSN - Parsons Corporation
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$81.75
DETAILS
HIGH:
$104.00
LOW:
$65.00
MEDIAN:
$79.00
CONSENSUS:
$81.75
UPSIDE:
51.30%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
50% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
10.2%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (10% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
39%
Implied Market Multiple
16.6x
Market is pricing in (growth)
6.4%
vs our 10.2% base
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $81.75 from 17 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $76.23 per share.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions