PSA - Public Storage
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$308.36
DETAILS
HIGH:
$349.00
LOW:
$285.00
MEDIAN:
$305.00
CONSENSUS:
$308.36
UPSIDE:
1.02%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Real Estate Investment Trust
85% confidence
Primary model: P/FFO × Industrial REIT Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
24.9x
$
Key Value Driver
FFO/share ($16.73) × industrial P/FFO multiple
Implied Market Multiple
18.2x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses P/FFO × Industrial REIT Multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $308.36 from 36 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $343.21 per share.
Warnings
Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
Dividend-based valuation: $223.64 (38% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.
Key Risks
- P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
- Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
- FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify