PRKS - United Parks & Resorts Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$46.63
DETAILS
HIGH:
$55.00
LOW:
$40.00
MEDIAN:
$47.00
CONSENSUS:
$46.63
UPSIDE:
45.31%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
85% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
4.7%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (5% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
34%
Implied Market Multiple
10.7x
Market is pricing in (growth)
0.4%
vs our 4.7% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 5% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $61.70 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (23 analysts)
$46.63
Analyst Range
$40.00 – $55.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
32%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $46.63 (from 23 analysts). Our estimate is 32% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions