PRKS - United Parks & Resorts Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$48.75
DETAILS
HIGH:
$54.00
LOW:
$40.00
MEDIAN:
$50.50
CONSENSUS:
$48.75
UPSIDE:
32.54%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
85% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
4.2%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (4% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
34%
Implied Market Multiple
15.7x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $48.75 from 23 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $33.08 per share.
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $48.75 (from 23 analysts). Our estimate is 43% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions