Perdoceo Education Corporation logo PRDO - Perdoceo Education Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 3
HOLD 5
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $44.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $44.00
LOW: $44.00
MEDIAN: $44.00
CONSENSUS: $44.00
UPSIDE: 29.49%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 20.9% below fair value
Current Price $33.98
Bear Case $35.37 4.1% upside ($35.37 - $33.98) / $33.98 = 4.1% $2.51 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $42.96 26.4% upside ($42.96 - $33.98) / $33.98 = 26.4% $2.51 × 17x P/E
Bull Case $50.54 48.7% upside ($50.54 - $33.98) / $33.98 = 48.7% $2.51 × 20x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

17.0x
2.51$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 13.5x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $44.00 from 9 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $42.96 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples