Perdoceo Education Corporation logo PRDO - Perdoceo Education Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 3
HOLD 5
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $44.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $44.00
LOW: $44.00
MEDIAN: $44.00
CONSENSUS: $44.00
UPSIDE: 35.11%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 20.8% below fair value
Current Price $32.57
Bear Case $33.88 4.0% upside ($33.88 - $32.57) / $32.57 = 4.0% $2.42 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $41.14 26.3% upside ($41.14 - $32.57) / $32.57 = 26.3% $2.42 × 17x P/E
Bull Case $48.40 48.6% upside ($48.40 - $32.57) / $32.57 = 48.6% $2.42 × 20x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

17.0x
2.42$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 13.5x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 17x P/E to adjusted EPS of $2.42, the base-case value is $41.14 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (9 analysts) $44.00
Analyst Range $44.00 – $44.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 6%

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples