Perpetua Resources Corp. logo PPTA - Perpetua Resources Corp.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 3
HOLD 0
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $41.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $41.00
LOW: $41.00
MEDIAN: $41.00
CONSENSUS: $41.00
UPSIDE: 61.93%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 667.3% above fair value
Current Price $25.32
Bear Case $2.64 89.6% downside ($2.64 - $25.32) / $25.32 = -89.6% $0.22 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $3.30 87.0% downside ($3.30 - $25.32) / $25.32 = -87.0% $0.22 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $3.96 84.4% downside ($3.96 - $25.32) / $25.32 = -84.4% $0.22 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
0.22$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 115.1x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.22, the base-case value is $3.30 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples