Pilgrim's Pride Corporation logo PPC - Pilgrim's Pride Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 8
HOLD 12
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $42.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $56.00
LOW: $30.00
MEDIAN: $41.00
CONSENSUS: $42.00
UPSIDE: 47.58%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 61.7% below fair value
Current Price $28.46
Bear Case $61.16 114.9% upside ($61.16 - $28.46) / $28.46 = 114.9% $4.79 × 15x P/E
Fair Value $74.27 161.0% upside ($74.27 - $28.46) / $28.46 = 161.0% $4.79 × 18x P/E
Bull Case $87.37 207.0% upside ($87.37 - $28.46) / $28.46 = 207.0% $4.79 × 21x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

17.7x
4.79$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (18x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 5.9x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $42.00 from 21 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $74.27 per share.

Warnings

The company pays out 373% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
Wall Street's average price target is $42.00 (from 21 analysts). Our estimate is 102% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples