Pilgrim's Pride Corporation logo PPC - Pilgrim's Pride Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 7
HOLD 14
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $36.67 DETAILS
HIGH: $42.00
LOW: $28.00
MEDIAN: $40.00
CONSENSUS: $36.67
UPSIDE: 13.71%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 60.0% below fair value
Current Price $32.25
Bear Case $66.34 105.7% upside ($66.34 - $32.25) / $32.25 = 105.7% $4.54 × 15x P/E
Fair Value $80.55 149.8% upside ($80.55 - $32.25) / $32.25 = 149.8% $4.54 × 18x P/E
Bull Case $94.77 193.9% upside ($94.77 - $32.25) / $32.25 = 193.9% $4.54 × 21x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

17.7x
4.54$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (18x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 7.1x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 18x P/E to adjusted EPS of $4.54, the base-case value is $80.55 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (22 analysts) $36.67
Analyst Range $28.00 – $42.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 120%

Warnings

The company pays out 373% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
Wall Street's average price target is $36.67 (from 22 analysts). Our estimate is 120% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples