Pilgrim's Pride Corporation logo PPC - Pilgrim's Pride Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 8
HOLD 12
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $37.33 DETAILS
HIGH: $42.00
LOW: $30.00
MEDIAN: $40.00
CONSENSUS: $37.33
UPSIDE: 36.19%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 62.5% below fair value
Current Price $27.41
Bear Case $60.20 119.6% upside ($60.20 - $27.41) / $27.41 = 119.6% $4.79 × 15x P/E
Fair Value $73.11 166.7% upside ($73.11 - $27.41) / $27.41 = 166.7% $4.79 × 18x P/E
Bull Case $86.00 213.8% upside ($86.00 - $27.41) / $27.41 = 213.8% $4.79 × 21x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

17.7x
4.79$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (18x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 5.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $37.33 from 21 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $73.11 per share.

Warnings

The company pays out 373% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
Wall Street's average price target is $37.33 (from 21 analysts). Our estimate is 128% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples