PPC - Pilgrim's Pride Corporation
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$36.67
DETAILS
HIGH:
$42.00
LOW:
$28.00
MEDIAN:
$40.00
CONSENSUS:
$36.67
UPSIDE:
13.71%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
17.7x
4.54$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (18x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
7.1x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 18x P/E to adjusted EPS of $4.54, the base-case value is $80.55 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (22 analysts)
$36.67
Analyst Range
$28.00 – $42.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
120%
Warnings
The company pays out 373% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
Wall Street's average price target is $36.67 (from 22 analysts). Our estimate is 120% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples