Power Integrations, Inc. logo POWI - Power Integrations, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 9
HOLD 8
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $85.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $90.00
LOW: $80.00
MEDIAN: $85.00
CONSENSUS: $85.00
UPSIDE: 35.46%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Cyclical & Capital-Intensive 80% confidence

Primary model: Normalized Earnings × Cycle Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 136.3% above fair value
Current Price $62.75
Bear Case $19.92 68.3% downside ($19.92 - $62.75) / $62.75 = -68.3% $1.66 × 12x
Fair Value $26.56 57.7% downside ($26.56 - $62.75) / $62.75 = -57.7% $1.66 × 16x
Bull Case $33.20 47.1% downside ($33.20 - $62.75) / $62.75 = -47.1% $1.66 × 20x

Adjust Assumptions

16.0x
1.66$

Key Value Driver

Through-cycle normalized EPS ($1.66)

Implied Market Multiple 37.8x

Plain-Language Summary

Using 7-year normalized EPS of $1.66 at a 16x cycle multiple, the base-case value is $26.56 per share. P/TBV cross-check: 6.1x.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (17 analysts) $85.00
Analyst Range $80.00 – $90.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 69%

Warnings

Price-to-book value of 6.1x is above the normal range for this type of business (0.7x-2.0x). The stock may already price in a strong cycle.
Wall Street's average price target is $85.00 (from 17 analysts). Our estimate is 69% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Standard 10-year DCF produces unreliable terminal values for cyclicals
  • 'Cheap' P/E at cycle peak is the most common value trap — normalize first
  • Captive finance subsidiaries have different risk profiles from manufacturing