POWI - Power Integrations, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$85.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$90.00
LOW:
$80.00
MEDIAN:
$85.00
CONSENSUS:
$85.00
UPSIDE:
35.46%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Cyclical & Capital-Intensive
80% confidence
Primary model: Normalized Earnings × Cycle Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
16.0x
1.66$
Key Value Driver
Through-cycle normalized EPS ($1.66)
Implied Market Multiple
37.8x
Plain-Language Summary
Using 7-year normalized EPS of $1.66 at a 16x cycle multiple, the base-case value is $26.56 per share. P/TBV cross-check: 6.1x.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (17 analysts)
$85.00
Analyst Range
$80.00 – $90.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
69%
Warnings
Price-to-book value of 6.1x is above the normal range for this type of business (0.7x-2.0x). The stock may already price in a strong cycle.
Wall Street's average price target is $85.00 (from 17 analysts). Our estimate is 69% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Standard 10-year DCF produces unreliable terminal values for cyclicals
- 'Cheap' P/E at cycle peak is the most common value trap — normalize first
- Captive finance subsidiaries have different risk profiles from manufacturing