PNR - Pentair plc
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$79.70
DETAILS
HIGH:
$94.00
LOW:
$64.00
MEDIAN:
$80.50
CONSENSUS:
$79.70
UPSIDE:
28.34%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
65% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.0x
3.96$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
15.7x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $3.96, the base-case value is $59.40 per share. DDM cross-check: $37.27.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (43 analysts)
$79.70
Analyst Range
$64.00 – $94.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
25%
Warnings
Dividend-based valuation: $37.27 (below our primary estimate by 37%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $79.70 (from 43 analysts). Our estimate is 25% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples