PNR - Pentair plc
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$113.56
DETAILS
HIGH:
$135.00
LOW:
$90.00
MEDIAN:
$115.00
CONSENSUS:
$113.56
UPSIDE:
51.78%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
65% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.0x
4.53$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
16.5x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $113.56 from 41 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $81.63 per share.
Warnings
Dividend-based valuation: $37.27 (below our primary estimate by 45%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $113.56 (from 41 analysts). Our estimate is 40% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples