PNR - Pentair plc
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$79.64
DETAILS
HIGH:
$94.00
LOW:
$60.00
MEDIAN:
$81.00
CONSENSUS:
$79.64
UPSIDE:
51.78%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
65% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.0x
3.96$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
13.2x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $3.96, the base-case value is $59.40 per share. DDM cross-check: $39.91.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (43 analysts)
$79.64
Analyst Range
$60.00 – $94.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
25%
Warnings
Dividend-based valuation: $39.91 (below our primary estimate by 33%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $79.64 (from 43 analysts). Our estimate is 25% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples