Pinnacle Financial Partners, Inc. logo PNFP - Pinnacle Financial Partners, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 17
HOLD 7
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $119.77 DETAILS
HIGH: $190.00
LOW: $63.00
MEDIAN: $118.00
CONSENSUS: $119.77
UPSIDE: 26.89%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 26.6% below fair value
Current Price $94.39
Bear Case $89.96 4.7% downside ($89.96 - $94.39) / $94.39 = -4.7% ROTCE 9.3% → 0.89x TBV
Fair Value $128.52 36.2% upside ($128.52 - $94.39) / $94.39 = 36.2% ROTCE 12.4% → 1.41x TBV
Bull Case $167.08 77.0% upside ($167.08 - $94.39) / $94.39 = 77.0% ROTCE 14.3% → 1.72x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

12.4%
10.0%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (12.4%) vs. cost of equity (10.0%)

Implied Market Multiple 2.76x

Plain-Language Summary

With ROTCE of 12.4% vs. 10.0% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 1.41x on $34.18 tangible book, implying $128.52 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (24 analysts) $119.77
Analyst Range $63.00 – $190.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 7%

Warnings

⚠ Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
⚠ Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly