PNFP - Pinnacle Financial Partners, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$117.43
DETAILS
HIGH:
$123.00
LOW:
$112.00
MEDIAN:
$118.00
CONSENSUS:
$117.43
UPSIDE:
16.16%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality
Adjust Assumptions
12.4%
9.9%
Key Value Driver
ROTCE (12.4%) vs. cost of equity (9.9%)
Implied Market Multiple
2.96x
Plain-Language Summary
With ROTCE of 12.4% vs. 9.9% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 1.42x on $34.21 tangible book, implying $128.52 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (23 analysts)
$117.43
Analyst Range
$112.00 – $123.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
9%
Warnings
Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Key Risks
- Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
- Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
- Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly