Pinnacle Financial Partners, Inc. logo PNFP - Pinnacle Financial Partners, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 15
HOLD 8
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $117.43 DETAILS
HIGH: $123.00
LOW: $112.00
MEDIAN: $118.00
CONSENSUS: $117.43
UPSIDE: 16.16%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 21.3% below fair value
Current Price $101.09
Bear Case $89.96 11.0% downside ($89.96 - $101.09) / $101.09 = -11.0% ROTCE 9.3% → 0.90x TBV
Fair Value $128.52 27.1% upside ($128.52 - $101.09) / $101.09 = 27.1% ROTCE 12.4% → 1.42x TBV
Bull Case $167.08 65.3% upside ($167.08 - $101.09) / $101.09 = 65.3% ROTCE 14.3% → 1.74x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

12.4%
9.9%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (12.4%) vs. cost of equity (9.9%)

Implied Market Multiple 2.96x

Plain-Language Summary

With ROTCE of 12.4% vs. 9.9% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 1.42x on $34.21 tangible book, implying $128.52 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (23 analysts) $117.43
Analyst Range $112.00 – $123.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 9%

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly