Plymouth Industrial REIT, Inc. logo PLYM - Plymouth Industrial REIT, Inc.

Inactive Ticker PLYM is not actively trading. Quotes and analytics may be stale.
Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 6
HOLD 9
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $21.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $25.00
LOW: $17.00
MEDIAN: $21.00
CONSENSUS: $21.00
DOWNSIDE: 4.46%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Real Estate Investment Trust 85% confidence

Primary model: P/FFO × Industrial REIT Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 74.2% below fair value
Current Price $21.98
Bear Case $69.99 218.4% upside ($69.99 - $21.98) / $21.98 = 218.4% $5.02 FFO × 23x
Fair Value $85.35 288.3% upside ($85.35 - $21.98) / $21.98 = 288.3% $5.02 FFO × 29x
Bull Case $100.71 358.2% upside ($100.71 - $21.98) / $21.98 = 358.2% $5.02 FFO × 34x

Adjust Assumptions

28.6x
5.02$

Key Value Driver

FFO/share ($5.02) × industrial P/FFO multiple

Implied Market Multiple 4.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses P/FFO × Industrial REIT Multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $21.00 from 16 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $85.35 per share.

Warnings

Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
Dividend-based valuation: $20.65 (81% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.
Wall Street's average price target is $21.00 (from 16 analysts). Our estimate is 409% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
  • Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
  • FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify