Plexus Corp. logo PLXS - Plexus Corp.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 10
HOLD 5
SELL 3
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $305.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $330.00
LOW: $275.00
MEDIAN: $310.00
CONSENSUS: $305.00
UPSIDE: 28.46%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 152.8% above fair value
Current Price $237.42
Bear Case $75.12 68.4% downside ($75.12 - $237.42) / $237.42 = -68.4% $6.26 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $93.90 60.4% downside ($93.90 - $237.42) / $237.42 = -60.4% $6.26 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $112.68 52.5% downside ($112.68 - $237.42) / $237.42 = -52.5% $6.26 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
6.26$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 37.9x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $6.26, the base-case value is $93.90 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (18 analysts) $305.00
Analyst Range $275.00 – $330.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 69%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $305.00 (from 18 analysts). Our estimate is 69% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples