Plexus Corp. logo PLXS - Plexus Corp.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 11
HOLD 5
SELL 3
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $303.75 DETAILS
HIGH: $330.00
LOW: $275.00
MEDIAN: $305.00
CONSENSUS: $303.75
UPSIDE: 16.21%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 178.4% above fair value
Current Price $261.38
Bear Case $75.12 71.3% downside ($75.12 - $261.38) / $261.38 = -71.3% $6.26 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $93.90 64.1% downside ($93.90 - $261.38) / $261.38 = -64.1% $6.26 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $112.68 56.9% downside ($112.68 - $261.38) / $261.38 = -56.9% $6.26 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
6.26$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 41.8x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $6.26, the base-case value is $93.90 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (19 analysts) $303.75
Analyst Range $275.00 – $330.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 69%

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $303.75 (from 19 analysts). Our estimate is 69% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples