Playtika Holding Corp. logo PLTK - Playtika Holding Corp.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 5
HOLD 12
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $3.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $3.50
LOW: $3.50
MEDIAN: $3.50
CONSENSUS: $3.50
DOWNSIDE: 12.83%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 80% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 56.8% below fair value
Current Price $4.01
Bear Case $9.18 128.7% upside ($9.18 - $4.01) / $4.01 = 128.7% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $9.29 131.4% upside ($9.29 - $4.01) / $4.01 = 131.4% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $10.23 154.7% upside ($10.23 - $4.01) / $4.01 = 154.7% 4% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

3.1%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (3% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 33%
Implied Market Multiple 7.1x
Market is pricing in (growth) -5.4% vs our 3.1% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $3.50 from 17 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $9.29 per share.

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $3.50 (from 17 analysts). Our estimate is 221% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions