PLNT - Planet Fitness, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$72.97
DETAILS
HIGH:
$126.00
LOW:
$50.50
MEDIAN:
$65.00
CONSENSUS:
$72.97
UPSIDE:
46.29%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
85% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
14.5%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (14% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
42%
Implied Market Multiple
19.8x
Market is pricing in (growth)
8.9%
vs our 14.5% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 14% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $92.07 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (29 analysts)
$72.97
Analyst Range
$50.50 – $126.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
26%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $72.97 (from 29 analysts). Our estimate is 26% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions