PLNT - Planet Fitness, Inc.
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$69.18
DETAILS
HIGH:
$106.00
LOW:
$50.50
MEDIAN:
$65.00
CONSENSUS:
$69.18
UPSIDE:
31.72%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
85% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
13.7%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (14% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
42%
Implied Market Multiple
19.9x
Market is pricing in (growth)
8.9%
vs our 13.7% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 14% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $89.37 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (29 analysts)
$69.18
Analyst Range
$50.50 – $106.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
29%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $69.18 (from 29 analysts). Our estimate is 29% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions