PLAB - Photronics, Inc.
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$55.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$55.00
LOW:
$55.00
MEDIAN:
$55.00
CONSENSUS:
$55.00
UPSIDE:
85.69%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Cyclical & Capital-Intensive
80% confidence
Primary model: Normalized Earnings × Cycle Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
16.0x
2.03$
Key Value Driver
Through-cycle normalized EPS ($2.03)
Implied Market Multiple
14.6x
Plain-Language Summary
Using 7-year normalized EPS of $2.03 at a 16x cycle multiple, the base-case value is $32.48 per share. P/TBV cross-check: 1.5x.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (11 analysts)
$55.00
Analyst Range
$55.00 – $55.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
41%
Warnings
This company has heavy ongoing investment costs. Valuation shortcuts that ignore those costs can make the stock look cheaper than it really is.
Wall Street's average price target is $55.00 (from 11 analysts). Our estimate is 41% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Standard 10-year DCF produces unreliable terminal values for cyclicals
- 'Cheap' P/E at cycle peak is the most common value trap — normalize first
- Captive finance subsidiaries have different risk profiles from manufacturing