PIPR - Piper Sandler Companies
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$97.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$97.00
LOW:
$97.00
MEDIAN:
$97.00
CONSENSUS:
$97.00
UPSIDE:
28.29%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality
Adjust Assumptions
29.5%
12.1%
Key Value Driver
ROTCE (29.5%) vs. cost of equity (12.1%)
Implied Market Multiple
5.36x
Plain-Language Summary
With ROTCE of 29.5% vs. 12.1% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 2.60x on $14.11 tangible book, implying $56.32 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (11 analysts)
$97.00
Analyst Range
$97.00 – $97.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
42%
Warnings
Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Wall Street's average price target is $97.00 (from 11 analysts). Our estimate is 42% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
- Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
- Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly