PLDT Inc. logo PHTCF - PLDT Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
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AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 65% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 38.9% below fair value
Current Price $19.00
Bear Case $24.86 30.8% upside ($24.86 - $19.00) / $19.00 = 30.8% $2.07 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $31.08 63.6% upside ($31.08 - $19.00) / $19.00 = 63.6% $2.07 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $37.29 96.3% upside ($37.29 - $19.00) / $19.00 = 96.3% $2.07 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
2.07$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 9.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $2.07, the base-case value is $31.08 per share.

Warnings

⚠ The company pays out 150% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
ℹ Financial statements were converted from PHP into USD using USDPHP at 0.0157 USD per PHP.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples