PFE - Pfizer Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$28.50
DETAILS
HIGH:
$31.00
LOW:
$26.00
MEDIAN:
$28.50
CONSENSUS:
$28.50
UPSIDE:
2.24%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
14.0x
2.23$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (14x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
12.5x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 14x P/E to adjusted EPS of $2.23, the base-case value is $31.20 per share. DDM cross-check: $27.23.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (39 analysts)
$28.50
Analyst Range
$26.00 – $31.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
9%
Warnings
The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 64%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
The company pays out 126% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples