PFBC - Preferred Bank
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$110.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$110.00
LOW:
$110.00
MEDIAN:
$110.00
CONSENSUS:
$110.00
UPSIDE:
6.26%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality
Adjust Assumptions
16.9%
7.3%
Key Value Driver
ROTCE (16.9%) vs. cost of equity (7.3%)
Implied Market Multiple
1.55x
Plain-Language Summary
With ROTCE of 16.9% vs. 7.3% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 3.97x on $66.67 tangible book, implying $264.88 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (10 analysts)
$110.00
Analyst Range
$110.00 – $110.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
141%
Warnings
Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Wall Street's average price target is $110.00 (from 10 analysts). Our estimate is 141% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
- Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
- Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly