PESI - Perma-Fix Environmental Services, Inc.
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$18.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$18.00
LOW:
$18.00
MEDIAN:
$18.00
CONSENSUS:
$18.00
UPSIDE:
63.71%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Distressed or Transitioning
70% confidence
Primary model: Current EPS × Depressed Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
7.5x
Key Value Driver
Whether the core business model is intact or structurally impaired
Implied Market Multiple
83.7x
Plain-Language Summary
Stock is 33% below 52-week high. Using current EPS at a 8x depressed multiple, base-case value is $0.98. Wide scenario range: $0.66–$1.31.
Warnings
Don't assume past cash flow levels will return — the company's troubles may have permanently reduced its ability to generate profits.
A stock can look cheap on paper and still lose half its value if the underlying business is permanently damaged.
The wide range between our best and worst cases is intentional — pretending to know a precise value for a troubled company would be misleading.
Key Risks
- Bullish DCF projections are fundamentally unknowable for distressed companies
- M&A speculation can floor the stock above intrinsic value temporarily
- Management credibility is a key input — new CEO expands the bull case