Pacira BioSciences, Inc. logo PCRX - Pacira BioSciences, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 15
HOLD 17
SELL 4
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $29.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $32.00
LOW: $25.00
MEDIAN: $30.00
CONSENSUS: $29.00
UPSIDE: 11.97%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 65% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 18.2% below fair value
Current Price $25.90
Bear Case $27.12 4.7% upside ($27.12 - $25.90) / $25.90 = 4.7% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $31.67 22.3% upside ($31.67 - $25.90) / $25.90 = 22.3% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $35.81 38.3% upside ($35.81 - $25.90) / $25.90 = 38.3% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

4.8%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (5% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 34%
Implied Market Multiple 12.4x
Market is pricing in (growth) 2.5% vs our 4.8% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 5% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $31.67 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (36 analysts) $29.00
Analyst Range $25.00 – $32.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 9%

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 817% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions