PCRX - Pacira BioSciences, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$31.67
DETAILS
HIGH:
$36.50
LOW:
$25.00
MEDIAN:
$32.00
CONSENSUS:
$31.67
DOWNSIDE:
12.78%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
65% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
4.7%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (5% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
34%
Implied Market Multiple
16.5x
Market is pricing in (growth)
6.4%
vs our 4.7% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 5% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $31.31 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (36 analysts)
$31.67
Analyst Range
$25.00 – $36.50
Divergence from AlphaVal
1%
Warnings
Stock-based employee pay equals 817% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions