Pacira BioSciences, Inc. logo PCRX - Pacira BioSciences, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 11
HOLD 22
SELL 3
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $31.67 DETAILS
HIGH: $36.50
LOW: $25.00
MEDIAN: $32.00
CONSENSUS: $31.67
DOWNSIDE: 12.78%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 65% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 16.0% above fair value
Current Price $36.31
Bear Case $27.12 25.3% downside ($27.12 - $36.31) / $36.31 = -25.3% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $31.31 13.8% downside ($31.31 - $36.31) / $36.31 = -13.8% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $35.29 2.8% downside ($35.29 - $36.31) / $36.31 = -2.8% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

4.7%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (5% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 34%
Implied Market Multiple 16.5x
Market is pricing in (growth) 6.4% vs our 4.7% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 5% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $31.31 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (36 analysts) $31.67
Analyst Range $25.00 – $36.50
Divergence from AlphaVal 1%

Warnings

⚠ Stock-based employee pay equals 817% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions