PCG - PG&E Corporation
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$23.80
DETAILS
HIGH:
$28.00
LOW:
$21.00
MEDIAN:
$23.00
CONSENSUS:
$23.80
UPSIDE:
30.63%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
16.0x
1.18$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
15.4x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 16x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.18, the base-case value is $18.88 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (30 analysts)
$23.80
Analyst Range
$21.00 – $28.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
21%
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples