Prestige Consumer Healthcare Inc. logo PBH - Prestige Consumer Healthcare Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 11
HOLD 4
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $81.67 DETAILS
HIGH: $93.00
LOW: $66.00
MEDIAN: $86.00
CONSENSUS: $81.67
UPSIDE: 73.95%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 14.2% below fair value
Current Price $46.95
Bear Case $46.92 0.1% downside ($46.92 - $46.95) / $46.95 = -0.1% $3.91 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $54.74 16.6% upside ($54.74 - $46.95) / $46.95 = 16.6% $3.91 × 14x P/E
Bull Case $62.56 33.2% upside ($62.56 - $46.95) / $46.95 = 33.2% $3.91 × 16x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

14.0x
3.91$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (14x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 12.0x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 14x P/E to adjusted EPS of $3.91, the base-case value is $54.74 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (17 analysts) $81.67
Analyst Range $66.00 – $93.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 33%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $81.67 (from 17 analysts). Our estimate is 33% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples