PAYO - Payoneer Global Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$7.93
DETAILS
HIGH:
$9.00
LOW:
$7.40
MEDIAN:
$7.40
CONSENSUS:
$7.93
UPSIDE:
11.53%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
85% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
19.2%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (19% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
46%
Implied Market Multiple
13.6x
Market is pricing in (growth)
3.7%
vs our 19.2% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 19% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $20.41 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (10 analysts)
$7.93
Analyst Range
$7.40 – $9.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
157%
Warnings
Stock-based employee pay equals 100% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Wall Street's average price target is $7.93 (from 10 analysts). Our estimate is 157% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions