AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page computes Patrick Industries, Inc.'s fair value using a multi-method blend (DCF, comparable-multiples, and Graham-style intrinsic value), then compares it to the current market price to flag PATK as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is Patrick Industries, Inc.'s fair value?

Fair value for PATK is a model output combining discounted cash flow projections, peer-group multiples, and a Graham number floor. The live AlphaVal page shows the blended fair value alongside each method's individual estimate.

How does AlphaMadera value PATK?

AlphaVal uses three primary techniques: a five-year discounted-cash-flow projection with terminal multiple, peer-group multiple analysis (P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S), and Graham's defensive-investor intrinsic-value formula. Inputs come from PATK's most recent reported fundamentals.

PATK - Patrick Industries, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $122.33 DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate

Trading 15.7% below fair value

Current Price $82.70

Bear Case $85.78 3.7% upside ($85.78 - $82.70) / $82.70 = 3.7% $5.62 × 14x P/E

Fair Value $98.05 18.6% upside ($98.05 - $82.70) / $82.70 = 18.6% $5.62 × 16x P/E

Bull Case $110.30 33.4% upside ($110.30 - $82.70) / $82.70 = 33.4% $5.62 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

P/E Multiple

16.0x

Adjusted EPS

5.62$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 14.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $122.33 from 17 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $98.05 per share.

Warnings

⚠ The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 44%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.

ℹ Dividend-based valuation: $295.86 (above our primary estimate by 229%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $122.33 (from 17 analysts). Our estimate is 26% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples