UiPath Inc. logo PATH - UiPath Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 6
HOLD 16
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $13.20 DETAILS
HIGH: $15.00
LOW: $12.00
MEDIAN: $13.00
CONSENSUS: $13.20
UPSIDE: 10.46%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

High-Growth Software 80% confidence

Primary model: Revenue × Terminal Margin DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 18.5% below fair value
Current Price $11.95
Bear Case $10.53 11.9% downside ($10.53 - $11.95) / $11.95 = -11.9% 8% rev growth, 21% terminal margin
Fair Value $14.66 22.6% upside ($14.66 - $11.95) / $11.95 = 22.6% 11% rev growth, 28% terminal margin
Bull Case $18.99 58.9% upside ($18.99 - $11.95) / $11.95 = 58.9% 15% rev growth, 32% terminal margin

Adjust Assumptions

11.0%
28.0%
12.0%

Key Value Driver

Revenue growth (11%) × margin expansion to 28%

Terminal Value % of EV 53%
Implied Market Multiple 3.1x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a discounted cash flow model based on revenue growth and long-run free cash flow margins. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $13.20 from 24 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $14.66 per share.

Warnings

Gross margin of 83% means each dollar of revenue is highly profitable. As the company grows, overhead costs should shrink as a share of revenue, boosting overall profits.

Key Risks

  • Current FCF misleads — the model values future margins, not today's cash
  • SBC dilution is the hidden tax: 2-4% annual share growth compounds fast
  • Revenue deceleration is inevitable — the question is when and how steep