PAHC - Phibro Animal Health Corporation
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$28.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$49.00
LOW:
$17.00
MEDIAN:
$18.00
CONSENSUS:
$28.00
DOWNSIDE:
26.80%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
17.3x
2.44$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
15.7x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 17x P/E to adjusted EPS of $2.44, the base-case value is $42.25 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (14 analysts)
$28.00
Analyst Range
$17.00 – $49.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
51%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $28.00 (from 14 analysts). Our estimate is 51% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples