Oxford Industries, Inc. logo OXM - Oxford Industries, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 16
HOLD 5
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $34.67 DETAILS
HIGH: $36.00
LOW: $32.00
MEDIAN: $36.00
CONSENSUS: $34.67
DOWNSIDE: 16.92%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 30.9% above fair value
Current Price $41.73
Bear Case $31.87 23.6% downside ($31.87 - $41.73) / $41.73 = -23.6% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $31.87 23.6% downside ($31.87 - $41.73) / $41.73 = -23.6% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $36.62 12.2% downside ($36.62 - $41.73) / $41.73 = -12.2% 4% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

3.0%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (3% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 33%
Implied Market Multiple 14.9x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $34.67 from 21 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $31.87 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions