OSI Systems, Inc. logo OSIS - OSI Systems, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 16
HOLD 2
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $301.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $310.00
LOW: $292.00
MEDIAN: $301.00
CONSENSUS: $301.00
UPSIDE: 35.52%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 195.1% above fair value
Current Price $222.10
Bear Case $0.00 100.0% downside ($0.00 - $222.10) / $222.10 = -100.0% 5% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $75.25 66.1% downside ($75.25 - $222.10) / $222.10 = -66.1% 8% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $2.86 98.7% downside ($2.86 - $222.10) / $222.10 = -98.7% 10% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

8.0%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (8% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 33%
Implied Market Multiple 131.9x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $301.00 from 18 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $75.25 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $301.00 (from 18 analysts). Our estimate is 100% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions