OSI Systems, Inc. logo OSIS - OSI Systems, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 16
HOLD 2
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $287.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $300.00
LOW: $274.00
MEDIAN: $287.00
CONSENSUS: $287.00
UPSIDE: 40.58%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 23.1% below fair value
Current Price $204.15
Bear Case $192.78 5.6% downside ($192.78 - $204.15) / $204.15 = -5.6% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $265.52 30.1% upside ($265.52 - $204.15) / $204.15 = 30.1% 9% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $335.50 64.3% upside ($335.50 - $204.15) / $204.15 = 64.3% 12% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

9.2%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (9% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 38%
Implied Market Multiple 16.2x
Market is pricing in (growth) 6.2% vs our 9.2% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 9% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $265.52 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (18 analysts) $287.00
Analyst Range $274.00 – $300.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 7%

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions