ORGO - Organogenesis Holdings Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$6.67
DETAILS
HIGH:
$9.00
LOW:
$5.00
MEDIAN:
$6.00
CONSENSUS:
$6.67
UPSIDE:
150.75%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.9x
0.16$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
17.1x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $6.67 from 5 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $3.32 per share.
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $6.67 (from 5 analysts). Our estimate is 63% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples