Organogenesis Holdings Inc. logo ORGO - Organogenesis Holdings Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 4
HOLD 2
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $2.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $3.00
LOW: $2.00
MEDIAN: $2.50
CONSENSUS: $2.50
UPSIDE: 42.86%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 26.7% below fair value
Current Price $1.75
Bear Case $2.05 16.9% upside ($2.05 - $1.75) / $1.75 = 16.9% $0.15 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $2.39 36.4% upside ($2.39 - $1.75) / $1.75 = 36.4% $0.15 × 16x P/E
Bull Case $2.73 55.8% upside ($2.73 - $1.75) / $1.75 = 55.8% $0.15 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.9x
0.15$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 11.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 16x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.15, the base-case value is $2.39 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (6 analysts) $2.50
Analyst Range $2.00 – $3.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 4%

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples