Is ORANY undervalued?

AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page classifies Orange S.A. as a Stable Earnings Power business and values it using P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple, then compares the result to the current market price to flag ORANY as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is Orange S.A.'s fair value?

Fair value for ORANY comes from a P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple model -- the approach AlphaVal selected for this company's Stable Earnings Power classification. The live AlphaVal page shows bear, base, and bull scenarios alongside the key assumption behind each.

How does AlphaMadera value ORANY?

AlphaVal routes each company to one of ten valuation archetypes based on its business model. ORANY was classified as Stable Earnings Power and is valued using P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple, built from ORANY's most recent reported fundamentals.

ORANY - Orange S.A.

Price: -- --

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate

Trading 31.0% above fair value

Current Price $16.11

Bear Case $9.84 38.9% downside ($9.84 - $16.11) / $16.11 = -38.9% $0.82 × 12x P/E

Fair Value $12.30 23.7% downside ($12.30 - $16.11) / $16.11 = -23.7% $0.82 × 15x P/E

Bull Case $14.76 8.4% downside ($14.76 - $16.11) / $16.11 = -8.4% $0.82 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

P/E Multiple

15.0x

Adjusted EPS

0.82$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Terminal Value % of EV

Implied Market Multiple 19.6x

Market is pricing in (growth)

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.82, the base-case value is $12.30 per share.

Warnings

⚠ The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 421%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.

⚠ The company pays out 796% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.

ℹ Financial statements were converted from EUR into USD using EURUSD at 1.1231 USD per EUR.

Key Risks

Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples