OptimizeRx Corp. logo OPRX - OptimizeRx Corp.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 11
HOLD 4
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $10.25 DETAILS
HIGH: $12.00
LOW: $7.00
MEDIAN: $11.00
CONSENSUS: $10.25
UPSIDE: 8.81%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 89.3% below fair value
Current Price $9.42
Bear Case $35.91 281.2% upside ($35.91 - $9.42) / $9.42 = 281.2% 18% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $88.05 834.7% upside ($88.05 - $9.42) / $9.42 = 834.7% 30% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $128.09 1259.7% upside ($128.09 - $9.42) / $9.42 = 1259.7% 35% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

29.9%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (30% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 52%
Implied Market Multiple 10.4x
Market is pricing in (growth) 0.0% vs our 29.9% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 30% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $88.05 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (15 analysts) $10.25
Analyst Range $7.00 – $12.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 759%

Warnings

⚠ Stock-based employee pay equals 136% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $10.25 (from 15 analysts). Our estimate is 759% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions