OptimizeRx Corp. logo OPRX - OptimizeRx Corp.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 11
HOLD 4
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $10.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $14.00
LOW: $7.00
MEDIAN: $10.50
CONSENSUS: $10.50
UPSIDE: 60.80%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 87.9% below fair value
Current Price $6.53
Bear Case $21.99 236.7% upside ($21.99 - $6.53) / $6.53 = 236.7% 18% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $53.95 726.1% upside ($53.95 - $6.53) / $6.53 = 726.1% 30% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $78.49 1102.0% upside ($78.49 - $6.53) / $6.53 = 1102.0% 35% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

29.9%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (30% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 52%
Implied Market Multiple 9.3x
Market is pricing in (growth) -1.5% vs our 29.9% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $10.50 from 15 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $53.95 per share.

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 136% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Wall Street's average price target is $10.50 (from 15 analysts). Our estimate is 552% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions