Option Care Health, Inc. logo OPCH - Option Care Health, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 11
HOLD 4
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $28.43 DETAILS
HIGH: $39.00
LOW: $22.00
MEDIAN: $28.00
CONSENSUS: $28.43
UPSIDE: 17.43%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 0.7% above fair value
Current Price $24.21
Bear Case $19.24 20.5% downside ($19.24 - $24.21) / $24.21 = -20.5% $1.27 × 15x P/E
Fair Value $24.05 0.7% downside ($24.05 - $24.21) / $24.21 = -0.7% $1.27 × 19x P/E
Bull Case $28.86 19.2% upside ($28.86 - $24.21) / $24.21 = 19.2% $1.27 × 23x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

18.9x
1.27$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (19x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 19.1x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 19x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.27, the base-case value is $24.05 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (15 analysts) $28.43
Analyst Range $22.00 – $39.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 15%

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples