Option Care Health, Inc. logo OPCH - Option Care Health, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 12
HOLD 2
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $31.22 DETAILS
HIGH: $39.00
LOW: $22.00
MEDIAN: $30.00
CONSENSUS: $31.22
UPSIDE: 44.74%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 15.9% below fair value
Current Price $21.57
Bear Case $20.52 4.9% downside ($20.52 - $21.57) / $21.57 = -4.9% $1.28 × 15x P/E
Fair Value $25.64 18.9% upside ($25.64 - $21.57) / $21.57 = 18.9% $1.28 × 19x P/E
Bull Case $30.77 42.6% upside ($30.77 - $21.57) / $21.57 = 42.6% $1.28 × 23x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

18.9x
1.28$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (19x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 16.8x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $31.22 from 14 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $25.64 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples