Option Care Health, Inc. logo OPCH - Option Care Health, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 12
HOLD 3
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $29.75 DETAILS
HIGH: $39.00
LOW: $22.00
MEDIAN: $29.00
CONSENSUS: $29.75
UPSIDE: 37.29%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 15.4% below fair value
Current Price $21.67
Bear Case $20.50 5.4% downside ($20.50 - $21.67) / $21.67 = -5.4% $1.28 × 15x P/E
Fair Value $25.62 18.2% upside ($25.62 - $21.67) / $21.67 = 18.2% $1.28 × 19x P/E
Bull Case $30.74 41.9% upside ($30.74 - $21.67) / $21.67 = 41.9% $1.28 × 23x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

18.9x
1.28$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (19x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 16.9x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $29.75 from 15 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $25.62 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples