OMF - OneMain Holdings, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$69.17
DETAILS
HIGH:
$76.00
LOW:
$60.00
MEDIAN:
$70.00
CONSENSUS:
$69.17
UPSIDE:
12.93%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
65% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
14.0%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (14% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
42%
Implied Market Multiple
9.2x
Market is pricing in (growth)
-1.8%
vs our 14.0% base
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $69.17 from 31 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $440.27 per share.
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $69.17 (from 31 analysts). Our estimate is 766% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions