OneMain Holdings, Inc. logo OMF - OneMain Holdings, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 22
HOLD 8
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $65.33 DETAILS
HIGH: $70.00
LOW: $60.00
MEDIAN: $66.00
CONSENSUS: $65.33
UPSIDE: 3.47%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 65% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 76.8% below fair value
Current Price $63.14
Bear Case $271.81 330.5% upside ($271.81 - $63.14) / $63.14 = 330.5% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $271.81 330.5% upside ($271.81 - $63.14) / $63.14 = 330.5% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $302.64 379.3% upside ($302.64 - $63.14) / $63.14 = 379.3% 4% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

3.0%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (3% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 33%
Implied Market Multiple 7.0x
Market is pricing in (growth) -5.7% vs our 3.0% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 3% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $271.81 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (31 analysts) $65.33
Analyst Range $60.00 – $70.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 316%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $65.33 (from 31 analysts). Our estimate is 316% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions