OneMain Holdings, Inc. logo OMF - OneMain Holdings, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 22
HOLD 8
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $65.25 DETAILS
HIGH: $71.00
LOW: $60.00
MEDIAN: $65.00
CONSENSUS: $65.25
UPSIDE: 16.62%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 65% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 80.9% below fair value
Current Price $55.95
Bear Case $272.97 387.9% upside ($272.97 - $55.95) / $55.95 = 387.9% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $292.44 422.7% upside ($292.44 - $55.95) / $55.95 = 422.7% 4% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $331.29 492.1% upside ($331.29 - $55.95) / $55.95 = 492.1% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

3.6%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (4% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 33%
Implied Market Multiple 6.8x
Market is pricing in (growth) -6.2% vs our 3.6% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 4% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $292.44 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (31 analysts) $65.25
Analyst Range $60.00 – $71.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 348%

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $65.25 (from 31 analysts). Our estimate is 348% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions