OMF - OneMain Holdings, Inc.
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$65.33
DETAILS
HIGH:
$70.00
LOW:
$60.00
MEDIAN:
$66.00
CONSENSUS:
$65.33
UPSIDE:
3.47%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
65% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
3.0%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (3% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
33%
Implied Market Multiple
7.0x
Market is pricing in (growth)
-5.7%
vs our 3.0% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 3% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $271.81 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (31 analysts)
$65.33
Analyst Range
$60.00 – $70.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
316%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $65.33 (from 31 analysts). Our estimate is 316% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions