OMCL - Omnicell, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$56.67
DETAILS
HIGH:
$65.00
LOW:
$50.00
MEDIAN:
$55.00
CONSENSUS:
$56.67
UPSIDE:
60.13%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
12.5x
0.52$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (12x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
67.9x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 12x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.52, the base-case value is $6.51 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (19 analysts)
$56.67
Analyst Range
$50.00 – $65.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
89%
Warnings
The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 1076%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
Wall Street's average price target is $56.67 (from 19 analysts). Our estimate is 89% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples