OLO - Olo Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$9.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$9.00
LOW:
$9.00
MEDIAN:
$9.00
CONSENSUS:
$9.00
DOWNSIDE:
12.28%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
85% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
17.6%
12.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (18% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
40%
Implied Market Multiple
303.0x
Market is pricing in (growth)
48.6%
vs our 17.6% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 18% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case intrinsic value is $2.94 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (8 analysts)
$9.00
Analyst Range
$9.00 – $9.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
67%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $9.00 (from 8 analysts). Our estimate is 67% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions