Olo Inc. logo OLO - Olo Inc.

Inactive Ticker OLO is not actively trading. Quotes and analytics may be stale.
Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 3
HOLD 5
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $9.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $9.00
LOW: $9.00
MEDIAN: $9.00
CONSENSUS: $9.00
DOWNSIDE: 12.28%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 248.9% above fair value
Current Price $10.26
Bear Case $2.58 74.9% downside ($2.58 - $10.26) / $10.26 = -74.9% 11% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $2.94 71.3% downside ($2.94 - $10.26) / $10.26 = -71.3% 18% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $3.37 67.2% downside ($3.37 - $10.26) / $10.26 = -67.2% 23% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

17.6%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (18% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 40%
Implied Market Multiple 303.0x
Market is pricing in (growth) 48.6% vs our 17.6% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 18% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case intrinsic value is $2.94 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (8 analysts) $9.00
Analyst Range $9.00 – $9.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 67%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $9.00 (from 8 analysts). Our estimate is 67% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions