Olo Inc. logo OLO - Olo Inc.

Inactive Ticker OLO is not actively trading. Quotes and analytics may be stale.
Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 3
HOLD 5
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $9.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $9.00
LOW: $9.00
MEDIAN: $9.00
CONSENSUS: $9.00
DOWNSIDE: 12.28%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 132.8% above fair value
Current Price $10.26
Bear Case $3.75 63.5% downside ($3.75 - $10.26) / $10.26 = -63.5% 11% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $4.41 57.0% downside ($4.41 - $10.26) / $10.26 = -57.0% 18% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $5.19 49.4% downside ($5.19 - $10.26) / $10.26 = -49.4% 23% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

17.6%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (18% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 40%
Implied Market Multiple 222.5x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $9.00 from 8 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $4.41 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $9.00 (from 8 analysts). Our estimate is 64% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions