AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page classifies Oil States International, Inc. as a Oil & Gas E&P business and values it using FCF at Price Deck × Multiple, then compares the result to the current market price to flag OIS as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is Oil States International, Inc.'s fair value?

Fair value for OIS comes from a FCF at Price Deck × Multiple model -- the approach AlphaVal selected for this company's Oil & Gas E&P classification. The live AlphaVal page shows bear, base, and bull scenarios alongside the key assumption behind each.

How does AlphaMadera value OIS?

AlphaVal routes each company to one of ten valuation archetypes based on its business model. OIS was classified as Oil & Gas E&P and is valued using FCF at Price Deck × Multiple, built from OIS's most recent reported fundamentals.

OIS - Oil States International, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $12.33 DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Oil & Gas E&P 85% confidence

Primary model: FCF at Price Deck × Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong

Trading 72.3% above fair value

Current Price $8.38

Bear Case $2.78 66.8% downside ($2.78 - $8.38) / $8.38 = -66.8% FCF $19M × 10x

Fair Value $4.86 42.0% downside ($4.86 - $8.38) / $8.38 = -42.0% FCF $24M × 13x

Bull Case $7.48 10.7% downside ($7.48 - $8.38) / $8.38 = -10.7% FCF $29M × 16x

Adjust Assumptions

Oil Price ($/bbl)

75.0$/bbl

EV/FCF Multiple

13.0x

Key Value Driver

Oil price assumption ($75/bbl base case)

Terminal Value % of EV

Implied Market Multiple 21.9x

Market is pricing in (growth)

Plain-Language Summary

At $75/bbl oil with a 13x EV/FCF multiple, intrinsic value is $4.86 per share. Range: $2.78 (bear) to $7.48 (bull).

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (32 analysts) $12.33

Analyst Range $11.00 – $14.00

Divergence from AlphaVal 61%

Warnings

ℹ Where you think oil prices will settle long-term drives over 80% of this valuation. The biggest risk isn't the company itself — it's getting the commodity price wrong.

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $12.33 (from 32 analysts). Our estimate is 61% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

⚠ This stock is 42% below its 52-week high, with weak or declining earnings. That combination often signals real trouble, even though the valuation below is based on other fundamentals.

Key Risks

Growth DCF inappropriate — commodity volumes do not compound
Geopolitical premiums are real but historically temporary
Reserve replacement ratio below 100% for 3 years is existential