OII - Oceaneering International, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$47.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$47.00
LOW:
$47.00
MEDIAN:
$47.00
CONSENSUS:
$47.00
UPSIDE:
5.29%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Oil & Gas E&P
85% confidence
Primary model: FCF at Price Deck × Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
75.0$/bbl
13.0x
Key Value Driver
Oil price assumption ($75/bbl base case)
Implied Market Multiple
27.4x
Plain-Language Summary
At $75/bbl oil with a 13x EV/FCF multiple, intrinsic value is $22.27 per share. Range: $14.09 (bear) to $32.54 (bull).
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (44 analysts)
$47.00
Analyst Range
$47.00 – $47.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
53%
Warnings
Where you think oil prices will settle long-term drives over 80% of this valuation. The biggest risk isn't the company itself — it's getting the commodity price wrong.
Wall Street's average price target is $47.00 (from 44 analysts). Our estimate is 53% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — commodity volumes do not compound
- Geopolitical premiums are real but historically temporary
- Reserve replacement ratio below 100% for 3 years is existential